According to New York Times veteran political reporter Peter Baker, the No. 1 topic of discussion at Washington dinner parties and receptions these days is Where would you go if it really happens? It being Donald J. Trumps return to the White House following the November 2024 election.
Canada, some say. Others mention Portugal, Australia, even the United Arab Emirates. The range and seniority of people who talk about it is striking, Baker writes. They include current and former White House officials, Cabinet secretaries, members of Congress, agency directors, intelligence and law enforcement officials, military officers, political strategists and journalists.
Trumps vows of retribution against his political enemies, whom he has called vermin, his stated intention to prosecute pretty much everybody who has offended him, and his loose talk about disobedient generals deserving the death penalty have a lot of people wondering if it can indeed happen here.
It being an overt dictatorship.
One former Trump administration official-turned-critic told Baker: People are feeling that its very obvious if a second Trump term happens, its going to be slash and burn.
As for me, to put it in Arkansas vernacular, I aint going nowhere. First, Im too old to think about relocating to a foreign country, which is a difficult thing to do even if you can afford it. Second, while I yield to nobody in my contempt for Trump, Im too obscure to persecute.
Besides, my wife and I could never agree about where to go. Chances are, for example, that I could qualify for an Irish passport, given that all eight of my great-grandparents were born there. Not long after we married, Diane was surprised to see tears in my eyes for the first time at the epitaph of my great literary hero Jonathan Swift in St. Patricks Cathedral in Dublin. (Swift died in 1745 but lived on in my imagination.)
I have always felt at home in that country, which welcomes immigrants unlikely to become a burden on the public. The Irish are great talkers and listeners. They want to hear your story and tell you theirs. Now that theyve quit killing each other over religion, the Republic of Ireland is one of the most peaceful countries on Earth, and among the friendliest.
Ill never forget how emotional I got seeing that rapscallion Bill Clinton with British Prime Minister Tony Blair on TV from Belfast announcing the Good Friday Accords. I thought Id left all that Irish business behind when I followed an Arkansas girl home from school all those years ago. But no, there it was, deeply embedded.
But heres the problem. Ive always been a weather maven. Heres my daily weather report summary for Dublin over the next 10 years: High, 56; Low, 42. Rain. At least 250 days every year fall within those parameters. Chilly, wet and windy. I dont think I could fool myself into being happy with that.
The Arkansas girls people emigrated from France into South Louisiana by way of Cuba. (Her parents met at LSU.) She thinks France is the most beautiful and fascinating country in the world, with the best cuisine. The food is great even in the airport. When weve visited there, shes frequently been stopped on the street by people asking directions. She has to haltingly explain that, appearances notwithstanding, she doesnt actually speak the language.
So, France is out. Even if we could afford it. Besides, shed never leave Arkansas unless the entire Gang of Four her closest girlfriends for 40 years agreed to come too. Me, I dont know how Id get along without my daily Boston Red Sox broadcast, or Arkansas Razorback basketball, for that matter. Somebodys got to load up the pack for their daily outing at the dog park, and its pretty much got to be me.
No matter. Because while I fear that the several months following the election will be filled with turmoil and foreboding Trumpist loudmouths have made it clear they will accept nothing but victory and will resort to violence if denied I believe that Trump is not going to be inaugurated come January 2025.
The exact sequence of events is impossible to predict, but in terms the former Apprentice star would understand, the Trump Show is about to be canceled. He has zero chance of winning the popular vote. None. The public is heartily sick of him. Just seeing his scowling face and listening to his endless boasting and whining have become almost unendurable.
For that same reason, he has little chance of running the table in the so-called swing states. Also, this time around, no amateur insurrection will take the authorities by surprise. Trumps attempts to summon a mob to disrupt his New York trial have fallen flat.
So never fear. Its almost over.
Arkansas Times columnist Gene Lyons is a National Magazine Award winner and co-author of The Hunting of the President (St. Martins Press, 2000). You can email Lyons at [email protected].
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